Annex 12 - Resource for the analysis of risks and opportunities

List of potential physical and transition risks

This list aims to provide a number of examples without guaranteeing exhaustiveness regarding existing potential risks and opportunities. Some types of risks (geopolitical, wars, health risks, for example) can be added if a correlation with climate change is identified. Risks whose causes and consequences are not related to climate change are not part of these examples.

These risks do not concern all organisations. They are described as “non-specific” to the organisation's activities. Further analysis work is carried out to target risks specific to the organisation's activities.

⏳[WIP] This resource will be produced soon and made available in early 2025.

Risk analysis matrix

For each risk, the objective of this resource is to be able to rank several indicators (here probability or severity as an example).

Risks	Probability	Severity
Risk No. 1	Unlikely	Major
Risk No. 2	Possible	Minor
Risk No. 3	Likely	Catastrophic
Risk No. 4	Almost certain	Limited

For each ranked risk, the conclusions of the proposed matrix allow the organisation's action to be prioritised.

	Minor and Limited	Major and Catastrophic
Unlikely and Possible	Monitoring & Opportunity	Anticipate
Likely and Almost certain	Act	Urgency

⏳[WIP] This resource will be produced soon and made available in early 2025.

Economic vulnerability simulator

This economic analysis utility allows simulations to be carried out, based on the final of the organisation.

Examples of possible simulations:

• assess all additional costs that would follow an increase in hydrocarbon prices, assuming that all suppliers, suppliers' suppliers, etc. pass on the resulting rise in energy prices to their prices. In such a case, the simulation naturally concerns only the CO2 from the use of hydrocarbons.

• assess the additional costs that would result from the introduction of a carbon tax or a penalty on greenhouse gas emissions.

This is therefore in no way a predictive tool. The hypotheses chosen must always be made explicit if not justified.

⏳[WIP] This utility currently exists in the tools of version 8. It will be updated with the tools of version 9.