> For the complete documentation index, see [llms.txt](https://www.bilancarbone-methode.com/llms.txt). Markdown versions of documentation pages are available by appending `.md` to page URLs; this page is available as [Markdown](https://www.bilancarbone-methode.com/english/annexes/annexes/annexe-12-ressource-pour-lanalyse-des-risques-et-opportunites.md).

# Annex 12 - Resources for risk and opportunity analysis

## List of Potential Physical and Transition Risks

This list aims to give a number of examples without guaranteeing exhaustiveness on potential existing risks and opportunities. Certain types of risks (geopolitical, wars, health risks, for example) may be added if a correlation with climate change is identified. Risks whose causes and consequences are not linked to climate change do not form part of these examples.

These risks do not concern all organisations. They are described as "non-specific" to the organisation's activities. Additional analysis work is carried out to target the specific risks to the organisation's activities.

> <mark style="background-color:blue;">⏳\[</mark>[<mark style="background-color:blue;">WIP</mark>](/english/readme.md#structures-des-informations-specifiques)<mark style="background-color:blue;">] This resource will be produced and made available shortly.</mark>

## Risk Analysis Matrix

For each risk, the objective of this resource is to be able to prioritise several indicators (here probability or severity as an example).

<table><thead><tr><th>Risks</th><th>Probability<select><option value="9xNfpVBbaAVW" label="Unlikely" color="blue"></option><option value="nPMvhB8VWlQ2" label="Possible" color="blue"></option><option value="zaBMBxpyEaoS" label="Probable" color="blue"></option><option value="OWHLuFakcIPg" label="Near-certain" color="blue"></option></select></th><th>Severity<select><option value="JhGTLVLf8QGC" label="Minor" color="blue"></option><option value="H7EPH47A3LUH" label="Limited" color="blue"></option><option value="sAKoasTnpVNU" label="Major" color="blue"></option><option value="1TB6Jle2DM4S" label="Dramatic" color="blue"></option></select></th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>Risk no. 1</td><td><span data-option="9xNfpVBbaAVW">Unlikely</span></td><td><span data-option="sAKoasTnpVNU">Major</span></td></tr><tr><td>Risk no. 2</td><td><span data-option="nPMvhB8VWlQ2">Possible</span></td><td><span data-option="JhGTLVLf8QGC">Minor</span></td></tr><tr><td>Risk no. 3</td><td><span data-option="zaBMBxpyEaoS">Probable</span></td><td><span data-option="1TB6Jle2DM4S">Dramatic</span></td></tr><tr><td>Risk no. 4</td><td><span data-option="OWHLuFakcIPg">Near-certain</span></td><td><span data-option="H7EPH47A3LUH">Limited</span></td></tr></tbody></table>

For each prioritised risk, the conclusions of the proposed matrix make it possible to prioritise the organisation's action.

|                               | Minor and Limited     | Major and Dramatic |
| ----------------------------- | --------------------- | ------------------ |
| **Unlikely and Possible**     | Monitor & Opportunity | Anticipate         |
| **Probable and Near-Certain** | Act                   | Urgent             |

> <mark style="background-color:blue;">⏳\[</mark>[<mark style="background-color:blue;">WIP</mark>](/english/readme.md#structures-des-informations-specifiques)<mark style="background-color:blue;">] This resource will be produced and made available shortly.</mark>

## Economic Vulnerability Simulator

This economic analysis utility makes it possible to carry out simulations, based on the organisation's [emission profile](/english/4-accounting/4.5-profil-demission.md).

Examples of possible simulations:

* Assess all the additional costs that would follow a rise in hydrocarbon prices, on the assumption that all suppliers, suppliers' suppliers, etc. pass on to their prices the resulting rise in energy prices for them. In such a case, the simulation only concerns CO2 from the use of hydrocarbons.
* Assess the additional costs that would result from the implementation of a carbon tax or a penalty on greenhouse gas emissions.

This is therefore in no way a predictive tool. The chosen assumptions must always be made explicit if they cannot be justified.

{% hint style="info" %}
This utility currently exists in the [ABC's tools](/english/training-and-tools-for-applying-the-method/outils-bilan-carbone-r-tableurs-et-logiciel.md) (Excel and BC+), available for the association's members.
{% endhint %}


---

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